The Surprising Correlation of Super Bowl and Presidential Election Results

Photo Credit: NFL (featured image), ESPN (team logos)

As many (all) of you know, today is the day that Donald J. Trump will be inaugurated as the 45th President of the United States after being elected in November. Looking back over the past few presidential elections, their results seem to correlate with the results of the results of the Super Bowl that occurred in the year of the election. Here is how.

 

Since 2004, whenever the team representing the AFC was the Super Bowl champion in the year of the presidential election, the Republican nominee won the election. Whenever the team representing the NFC was the Super Bowl champion in the year of the presidential election, the Democratic nominee won the election.

 

2004: Super Bowl XXXVIII

i New England Patriots (AFC) defeat i-25 Carolina Panthers (NFC), 32-29. 

George W. Bush (R) defeats John F. Kerry (D), 286-251.

 

2008: Super Bowl XLII

i-18 New York Giants (NFC) defeat i New England Patriots (AFC), 17-14.

Barack H. Obama (D) defeats John S. McCain (R), 365-173.

 

2012: Super Bowl XLVI

i-18 New York Giants (NFC) defeat i New England Patriots (AFC), 21-17.

Barack H. Obama (D) defeats W. Mitt Romney (R), 332-206.

 

2016: Super Bowl L

i-14 Denver Broncos (AFC) defeat i-25 Carolina Panthers (NFC), 24-10.

Donald J. Trump (R) defeats Hillary R. Clinton (D), 304-227.

 

 

Here are some other key things to note about this trend regarding the Super Bowl in the year of the election itself.

 

  • The last time that the Republican nominee won the presidential election but an AFC team did not win the Super Bowl in the year of the election was in 2000, when George W. Bush (R) won the presidential election over Al Gore (D) by an electoral vote count of 271-266 but the St. Louis Rams (NFC) defeated the Tennessee Titans (AFC) by a score of 23-16 in Super Bowl XXXIV. 
    • This was also the last time that an NFC team won the Super Bowl in a presidential election year but the Democratic nominee did not win the election.
  • The last time an AFC team won the Super Bowl in a presidential election year but the Republican nominee did not win the election was in 1976, when the Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC) defeated the Dallas Cowboys (NFC) in Super Bowl X by a score of 21-17 but James E. Carter (D) won the presidential election over Gerald R. Ford (R) by an electoral vote count of 297-240.
    • This was also the last time that the Democratic nominee won the presidential election but an NFC team did not win the Super Bowl in the year of the election.

 

 

Here are some key things to note about this trend regarding the Super Bowl in the year of the inauguration.

 

  • The last time that the Republican nominee won the presidential election but an AFC team did not win the Super Bowl in the year of the inauguration was in 1989, when George H. W. Bush (R) won the presidential election over Michael S. Dukakis (D) by an electoral vote count of 426-111 but the San Francisco 49ers (NFC) defeated the Cincinnati Bengals by a score of 20-16 in Super Bowl XXIII. 
    • This was also the last time that an NFC team won the Super Bowl in an inauguration year but the Democratic nominee was not inaugurated.
  • The last time an AFC team won the Super Bowl in an inauguration year but the Republican nominee did not win the election was in 2013, when the Baltimore Ravens (AFC) defeated the San Francisco 49ers (NFC) in Super Bowl XLVII by a score of 34-31 but Barack H. Obama (D) won the presidential election over W. Mitt Romney (R) by an electoral vote count of 332-206.
    • This was also the last time that the Democratic nominee won the presidential election year but an NFC team did not win the Super Bowl in the year of the inauguration.

 

 

It looks like Super Bowl LIV in 2020 will have something far more important riding on it than just crowning the champion of the NFL, and it looks like Super Bowl LI, which is coming up on Sunday, February 5th, 2017, will have a major impact on this amazing correlation between the results of Super Bowls and the results of presidential elections.

 

-Asher Fair

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s