Potential Super Bowl LI Matchup Picks Using Statistical Formula

Photo Credit: NFL / NerdWallet (featured image), ESPN (team logos)

These picks were made by a formula that is 20% based on winning percentage, 25% based on home/road winning percentage, 15% based on winning percentage against common opponents, 10% based on points scored-points allowed ratio, 7.5% based on standings Rating Percentage Index (RPI) ranking, 7.5% based on standings RPI, 5% based on points RPI ranking, 5% based on points RPI, 2.5% based on power ranking, and 2.5% based on winning percentage over the last five games.

NOTE: All percentages are rounded to the hundredths place.

NOTE: This formula is based on what the values for each of these percentages would be assuming victory in the conference championship round for each team in a potential Super Bowl LI matchup (each time a team is listed, it assumes they won their conference championship game, and the values represented for each percentage listed above are based on that assumption).

PIT #3 Pittsburgh Steelers, (14-5) have a 51.47% chance to defeat the GB #4 Green Bay Packers, (13-6)

 

PIT #3 Pittsburgh Steelers, (14-5) have a 51.75% chance to defeat the ATL #2 Atlanta Falcons (13-5) 

 

NE #1 New England Patriots (16-2) have a 53.02% chance to defeat the GB #4 Green Bay Packers, (13-6)

 

NE #1 New England Patriots (16-2) have a 52.53% chance to defeat the ATL #2 Atlanta Falcons (13-5)

 

-Asher Fair

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